Date
10-14-2026
Department
Helms School of Government
Degree
Master of Science in Political Science (MS)
Chair
Wayne Robert Hugar
Keywords
Tariffs, U.S, China, trade
Disciplines
Political Science
Recommended Citation
Egler, Matthew Silvanus, "Effects of U.S Tariffs on the People's Republic of China’s Trade in the Western Hemisphere During 2025" (2026). Masters Theses. 1550.
https://digitalcommons.liberty.edu/masters/1550
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to analyze the question of what impacts did the U.S. tariffs on People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) exports to the United States have on the PRC’s trade in the Western Hemisphere during 2025. This study contributes to the literature by looking for more policy tools that can be used to affect PRC trade in the Western Hemisphere. In other studies, it is noted that the U.S. tariffs lead to trade destruction and deflection effects. This is the first study of its kind that analyzes these effects for the PRC’s trade in the Western Hemisphere by determining their correlation while making quantitative data analysis using Linear Regression machine learning algorithms to further inform U.S. policy. The study uses trade data from UN Comtrade and World Integrated Trade Systems (WITS) along with tariff data from the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE). The conclusion is that overall PRC exports to the Western Hemisphere will decline as the U.S. tariffs on PRC exports to the U.S. increase. This study found no statistically significant relationship between U.S. tariffs on PRC exports to the U.S. and overall PRC imports from the Western Hemisphere.
