Publication Date

5-4-2026

School

Helms School of Government

Major

International Relations

Keywords

transnational crime, hybrid threats, great power competition, U.S.-China-Russia relations, triangular model, asymmetric warfare, neoclassical realism, multipolarity, strategic culture, weaponized crime, proxy forces, illicit networks, Sino-Russian alignment, national security strategy, hybrid warfare

Disciplines

Asian Studies | Criminology and Criminal Justice | Defense and Security Studies | Global Studies | International Relations | Models and Methods | Other Political Science | Soviet and Post-Soviet Studies

Abstract

This thesis examines the evolving strategic relationship between the United States, China, and Russia from 2000 to 2025 through a triangular model based on reactions to systemic pressures to core strategic interests. The study employs a thematic qualitative data analysis on U.S., Chinese, and Russian national security strategies to analyze strategic posturing between poles over time. This new model serves as the study’s basis for contextualizing hybrid threat development, specifically transnational crime as a proxy force of asymmetric power projection. The study found that the evolution of state-supported transnational crime serves as a by-product of reactions to systemic pressure. State actors have weaponized transnational crime towards their strategic interests, creating a cause-and-effect of foreign policy action with America’s strategic rivals.

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