Publication Date
Spring 5-2023
School
College of Arts and Sciences
Major
Applied Mathematics and Statistics
Keywords
Hockey, Analytics, Microstatistics, Sports, Meta-metrics
Disciplines
Applied Statistics | Statistical Models
Recommended Citation
Palmer, Matt, "Small but Mighty: Examing the Utility of Microstatistics in Modeling Ice Hockey" (2023). Senior Honors Theses. 1314.
https://digitalcommons.liberty.edu/honors/1314
Abstract
As research into hockey analytics continues, an increasing number of metrics are being introduced into the knowledge base of the field, creating a need to determine whether various stats are useful or simply add noise to the discussion. This paper examines microstatistics – manually tracked metrics which go beyond the NHL’s publicly released stats – both through the lens of meta-analytics (which attempt to objectively assess how useful a metric is) and modeling game probabilities. Results show that while there is certainly room for improvement in understanding and use of microstats in modeling, the metrics overall represent an area of promise for hockey analytics.