Publication Date

Spring 2021

School

College of Arts and Sciences

Major

Mathematics

Keywords

{Markov chains, stochastic processes, dynamical systems, law of large numbers

Disciplines

Dynamical Systems | Dynamic Systems | Other Statistics and Probability

Abstract

In 1906, the Russian probabilist A.A. Markov proved that the independence of a sequence of random variables is not a necessary condition for a law of large numbers to exist on that sequence. Markov's sequences -- today known as Markov chains -- touch several deep results in dynamical systems theory and have found wide application in bibliometrics, linguistics, artificial intelligence, and statistical mechanics. After developing the appropriate background, we prove a modern formulation of the law of large numbers (fundamental theorem) for simple countable Markov chains and develop an elementary notion of ergodicity. Then, we apply these chain convergence results to study PageRank and the Google matrix.

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