Master of Science (MS)
Coaching Retention, Football, Luck, NFL, Pythagorean Win Expectation, Variance
Public Health | Sports Sciences
Steen, Alexander, "The Effect of Luck on the Retention of Head Coaches in the NFL" (2016). Masters Theses. 393.
his investigation considers the impact of the concept of luck on coaching retention in the National Football League (NFL). The head coach of an NFL team is often under intense scrutiny to perform in a high profile position. Due to a small inventory of games each season, there is the potential for luck to influence whether or not a season is viewed a success. This study seeks to measure the impact of luck for a given NFL team while attempting to correlate with the retention or release of the head coach.