Date

4-2016

Department

Sport Management

Degree

Master of Science (MS)

Chair

Kevin Heisey

Keywords

Coaching Retention, Football, Luck, NFL, Pythagorean Win Expectation, Variance

Disciplines

Public Health | Sports Sciences

Abstract

his investigation considers the impact of the concept of luck on coaching retention in the National Football League (NFL). The head coach of an NFL team is often under intense scrutiny to perform in a high profile position. Due to a small inventory of games each season, there is the potential for luck to influence whether or not a season is viewed a success. This study seeks to measure the impact of luck for a given NFL team while attempting to correlate with the retention or release of the head coach.

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